Our MLB betting picks see Josh Naylor persevering with to search out success vs. Max Scherzer and the Blue Jays tonight. Plus a prop decide for every hurler in ALCS Sport 4.
Photograph By – Imagn Photos. Seattle Mariners first baseman Josh Naylor (12) hits a single.
The Toronto Blue Jays cruised to a 13-4 victory over the Seattle Mariners in Sport 3 of the ALCS final night time. That stated, they’re nonetheless down 2-1 on this best-of-seven collection, and so they have a troublesome matchup in Sport 4 tonight with Seattle boasting a big benefit on the hill.
My MLB picks are backing M’s righty Luis Castillo and fading Toronto starter Max Scherzer. I am additionally betting on a Canadian slugger with my greatest Blue Jays vs. Mariners participant props for Thursday, October 16.
For extra on ALCS Sport 4, try Neil Parker’s Blue Jays vs. Mariners predictions!
Blue Jays vs Mariners Sport 4 props
| Participant |  |
|---|---|
 Castillo o4.5 Ks |
+135 |
 Scherzer o1.5 ER |
-130 |
| Naylor o1.5 H+R+RBI |
+110 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners participant prop picks
Prop #1: Luis Castillo Over 4.5 strikeouts
The Toronto Blue Jays strike out on the lowest price within the majors, but it surely’s nonetheless powerful to show down the Over 4.5 strikeouts prop for Luis Castillo at plus cash.
The Seattle Mariners starter eclipsed this quantity in 11 of his closing 15 common season begins, averaging 5.5 strikeouts per begin. The three-time All-Star additionally pitches considerably higher at dwelling, the place he logged a 2.60 ERA with a strikeout price of 24.7% by 100 1/3 innings throughout the common season.
Castillo’s arm must also be properly rested since he has pitched simply as soon as within the final 10 days. He threw simply 15 pitches in that look to shut out Sport 5 of the ALDS final Friday.
Prop #2: Max Scherzer Over 1.5 earned runs allowed
Toronto is giving the tablet to veteran Max Scherzer tonight. Scherzer is a future Corridor-of-Famer with 25 postseason begins on his resume, however he is now 41 years outdated and is a shell of his former self.
Scherzer had a 5.19 ERA in 17 common season begins this yr, and he ranked close to the underside of the majors in barrel price and ground-ball price. The righty actually struggled in direction of the top of the season, surrendering 25 runs in his closing 25 innings pitched.
Mad Max was left off the ALDS roster, and whereas the Jays wanted to dig deeper into their rotation on this collection, I do not see him having success. This Mariners lineup was sixth within the majors in barrel price and fourth in hard-hit price throughout the common season.
Prop #3: Josh Naylor Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
There could be a sure merciless irony if Mississauga native Josh Naylor have been to assist knock the Jays out of the postseason. The hard-hitting first baseman went 0-for-3 on the plate final night time however has nonetheless been red-hot, going 9-for-21 with three extra-base hits over his final 5 video games.
Naylor has been mashing because the Mariners traded for him on the deadline, slashing .299/.341/.490 together with his new group. Maybe most spectacular is that he is been hitting extraordinarily properly at pitcher-friendly T-Cell Park, the place he slashed .360/.408/.607 with 19 runs and 22 RBI in 26 video games.
Naylor can have the platoon benefit tonight in opposition to Scherzer. Not solely has Scherzer struggled this yr, however he is been particularly dangerous versus left-handed hitters, who’re slugging .545 in opposition to him.
Easy methods to watch Blue Jays vs Mariners and Sport 4 data
| Location | T-Cell Park, Seattle, WA |
| Date | Thursday, October 16, 2025 |
| First pitch | 8:33 p.m. ET |
| TV | FS1 |
Odds are appropriate on the time of publishing and are topic to alter.
Not meant to be used in MA.
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