Everybody likes to win a same-game parlay. The issue? Most SGPs are longshots designed to empty your bankroll. These flashy +1,000,000 tickets look enjoyable, however they nearly by no means money. The books need you to wager on these! At FTN, we take a unique strategy to SGPs. Utilizing our Identical-Sport Parlay Instrument, powered by 10,000 simulations for each matchup, we establish spots the place the chances are literally mispriced. Meaning you’re not simply throwing darts, however you’re constructing parlays with actual edges, even when the payouts are huge.
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs @ Jacksonville Jaguars Identical-Sport Parlay
Week 5 closes out with an intriguing Monday Night time Soccer sport. The Chiefs are driving excessive after defeating the Ravens in Week 4 and at the moment are seeking to enhance to 3-2. The Jaguars even have momentum, coming off a powerful win towards the 49ers in Week 4. The Chiefs are 3.5-point favorites on the street, and our simulations venture the Jaguars to maintain it shut. Right here’s a three-leg parlay with +450 odds to get you happening Monday Night time!
Leg 1: Trevor Lawrence Over 221.5 Passing Yards
It’s been a blended begin to the season for Trevor Lawrence. He’s successful video games, which is an important factor, however his play has been uneven at greatest. He ranks thirty third in completion share, and the one guys beneath him are rookie Cam Ward, J.J. McCarthy and benched Joe Flacco. However there’s additionally been some optimistic indicators. He simply accomplished 67.7% of throws towards the 49ers, and he has 9 explosive cross performs, which is fairly middle-of-the-pack. He’s averaging simply 217 yards per sport, however the Jaguars have been forward in most video games. In the event that they fall behind tonight, as the road signifies they’ll, anticipate a extra pass-focused offense, which can assist Lawrence go over.
Leg 2: Hollywood Brown beneath 3.5 Receptions
Hollywood Brown had 10 receptions in Week 1, however he’s had simply 5, 4 and three within the subsequent three video games. The three got here with Xavier Worthy again within the lineup, as Brown is now again to a complementary position within the offense. The Chiefs prefer to rotate numerous receivers into the sport, and Brown had only a 63% route participation price final week. Assuming this continues, Hollywood could proceed to disappoint within the passing sport.
Leg 3: Brenton Unusual Over 34.5 Receiving Yards
Unusual is quietly off to a stable begin to the season. He has 182 yards by 4 video games, with three with a minimum of 45 yards. He’s second on the staff in routes and in targets, clearly turning into a focus within the offense. We’re projecting greater than 45 yards right here, so take the worth, particularly in a parlay that has Trevor Lawrence going over as properly.
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